Market Outlook

Market expectations are teetering on a knife’s edge as investors anticipate the Federal Reserve’s imminent rate decision. With September swaps pricing in a 55% probability of a half-point reduction, uncertainty prevails over the magnitude of the Fed’s next move. Adding to the complexity, U.S. retail sales have unexpectedly increased, following an upward revision, further clouding […]

The U.S. dollar stabilized on Tuesday after a four-day slide, as market participants ramped up expectations that the Federal Reserve will implement a significant half-point interest rate cut at Wednesday’s meeting. The currency had been under pressure as traders grappled with mixed U.S. economic data highlighting weakening growth but persistently elevated inflation which has left

The yen extended its winning streak against the U.S. dollar for a fourth consecutive day, buoyed by falling Treasury yields, which in turn broadened a rally in emerging-market currencies across Asia. The currency movement comes as fresh economic data reinforced expectations of an upcoming Federal Reserve rate cut, but uncertainty remains over its scale. Investors are

Investor sentiment regained momentum across markets after U.S. inflation data for August strengthened expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut at its upcoming meeting. With attention now turning to Europe, traders are gearing up for the European Central Bank’s (ECB) widely anticipated rate reduction today, as policymakers remain committed to supporting growth amid persistent economic uncertainty.

The yen strengthened on Wednesday following comments from a Bank of Japan official signaling potential interest rate increases, further impacting global market dynamics ahead of key U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting next week. Oil prices held steady below $70 a barrel, while global bond yields touched a two-year low as investors remain

As former President Donald Trump prepares to debate U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris later on Tuesday, financial markets are closely watching whether the Federal Reserve will opt for a significant rate cut at its upcoming meeting. The uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s next move has lent some support to the U.S. dollar, which has clawed back

A rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September seems nearly inevitable as signs of a cooling job market bolster expectations for monetary easing. Bond traders, who previously grappled with forecasting the peak of the Fed’s tightening cycle, now face a similarly challenging task in predicting the pace and extent of rate cuts. The market consensus points

The dollar extended its decline, falling for a third consecutive day, as currency markets braced for the release of US payrolls data that could dictate the size of the Federal Reserve’s anticipated interest-rate cut this month. Amid mounting speculation that a disappointing jobs report could prompt the Fed to slash rates by 50 basis points, the greenback struggled,

Global markets adopted a cautious stance as traders awaited the upcoming US payrolls report, a key indicator that could significantly influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions. Speculation about the extent of the Fed’s rate cuts intensified after signs of a slowdown in the US labor market, fueling expectations for more aggressive easing measures. The dollar

A wave of risk aversion swept through global markets as September, historically a volatile month for equities, began with fresh concerns over the health of the US economy. A closely monitored US manufacturing index once again fell short of expectations, intensifying fears of a potential economic slowdown in the world’s largest economy. This development compounded already fragile