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Market Outlook

Dollar Strength Extends as Fed Divisions Cloud Rate Cut Outlook

The US dollar extended its winning streak for a fifth consecutive session, climbing to levels last seen in August as traders reassessed expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next policy move. Uncertainty deepened after Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that a December rate cut is not guaranteed, while other Fed officials offered mixed messages. Chicago Fed President […]

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Commodities in Focus as Traders Eye Fed Path and China’s Policy Shift

Gold Faces Policy Shock as China Ends Tax Incentive Commodity markets opened November on a volatile footing, led by swings in gold prices after China abruptly scrapped a long standing tax incentive on bullion. The move  seen as a signal of Beijing’s efforts to cool speculative demand weighed on sentiment in one of the world’s largest

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Markets Weigh Fragile U.S. – China Truce as Gold Slips and Yen Strengthens

Gold Loses Momentum Amid Shifting Risk Appetite Global markets ended the week on a mixed note as traders digested the aftermath of the high stakes U.S. – China summit. Gold fell 0.7%, marking its fourth decline in five sessions, as investors unwound safe haven positions following signs of easing trade tensions. Treasury yields and the

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Investors Brace for US Election, Key Economic Data as Fed’s Next Move Looms 1

Investors Brace for US Election, Key Economic Data as Fed’s Next Move Looms

Investors are on high alert as markets prepare for the upcoming U.S. election and a slate of critical economic data releases that could shape the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision. With polls indicating a tightly contested race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, market participants are weighing the potential impact

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Yen Sinks on Japan’s Election Uncertainty, Eyes Turn to BOJ 3

Yen Sinks on Japan’s Election Uncertainty, Eyes Turn to BOJ

The yen tumbled to a nearly three-month low, slipping as much as 1% to 153.88 per dollar on Monday, after Japan’s ruling coalition missed securing a majority in parliament. The unexpected election outcome, resulting from Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s snap election gamble, has spurred concerns over potential political instability and dampened hawkish expectations for the Bank

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Treasury Yields Retreat as Market Reassesses Fed Cuts and Election Risks; Dollar Holds Steady 5

Treasury Yields Retreat as Market Reassesses Fed Cuts and Election Risks; Dollar Holds Steady

U.S. Treasury yields dipped for a second consecutive day as investors recalibrated expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, factoring in the risks surrounding the impending presidential election. The dollar held firm, poised for a fourth consecutive weekly gain, as earlier spikes in yields triggered a risk-off sentiment, prompting traders to pare back their bets on aggressive

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US Dollar Strength and Treasury Yield Surge Weigh on Investor Sentiment, While Gold Eyes Recovery 7

US Dollar Strength and Treasury Yield Surge Weigh on Investor Sentiment, While Gold Eyes Recovery

The recent surge in U.S. Treasury yields and the strengthening of the U.S. dollar are dampening risk appetite in global markets, particularly in regions sensitive to U.S. monetary policy shifts. Investors are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve’s easing trajectory, with swap traders no longer fully convinced of interest rate cuts during the remaining two policy

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Traders Reassess Fed's Rate Cut Path as Uncertainty Looms; Gold Gains Amid Geopolitical Tensions 9

Traders Reassess Fed’s Rate Cut Path as Uncertainty Looms; Gold Gains Amid Geopolitical Tensions

Financial markets are adjusting their outlook as traders reassess the likelihood of further Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. Expectations for aggressive rate reductions have tempered, with the central bank signaling a preference for a slower, more cautious approach. The Fed faces uncertainty over how low it should ultimately cut rates, especially given the resilience of the

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Gold Hits Record High Amid Middle East Tensions and U.S. Election Uncertainty 11

Gold Hits Record High Amid Middle East Tensions and U.S. Election Uncertainty

Gold surged to a record high, reflecting heightened demand as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensified and investors positioned themselves ahead of the closely contested U.S. presidential election. The precious metal touched an all-time peak of approximately $2,730 an ounce, driven by a confluence of factors including global economic uncertainty and escalating conflict in the

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US Retail Sales Surge Dampens Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Pushing Treasury Yields Higher 13

US Retail Sales Surge Dampens Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Pushing Treasury Yields Higher

US retail sales posted a stronger-than-expected increase, shaking up market sentiment and prompting traders to reassess their expectations for further Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. The robust retail sales data suggests resilient consumer demand, leading investors to trim their wagers on the Fed implementing two additional rate cuts by year-end. The world’s largest bond market

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